Strategic foresight for agriculture: Past ghosts, present challenges, and future opportunities
Strategic foresight is systematic means to explore plausible futures. In the agricultural context, strategic foresight allows decision-makers to explore how alternative investments in agriculture research may function given anticipated futures associated with a variety of drivers ranging from climate change to increasing wealth to a changing policy environment. This paper…
Income, consumer preferences, and the future of livestock-derived food demand
In recent decades there has been a sustained and substantial shift in human diets across the globe towards including more livestock-derived foods. Continuing debates scrutinize how these dietary shifts affect human health, the natural environment, and livelihoods. However, amidst these debates there remain unanswered questions about how demand for livestock-derived…
Disability-adjusted life years due to chronic and hidden hunger under food system evolution with climate change and adaptation to 2050
Climate change presents an increasing challenge for food-nutrition security. Nutrition metrics calculated from quantitative food system projections can help focus policy actions.To estimate future chronic and hidden hunger disability-adjusted life years (DALYs)—due to protein-energy undernutrition and micronutrient deficiencies, respectively—using food systems projections to evaluate the potential impact of climate change…
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Modeling impacts of faster productivity growth to inform the CGIAR initiative on Crops to End Hunger
In 2017–2018, a group of international development funding agencies launched the Crops to End Hunger initiative to modernize public plant breeding in lower-income countries. To inform that initiative, USAID asked the International Food Policy Research Institute and the United States Department of Agriculture’s Economic Research Service to estimate the impacts…
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Foresight Synthesis Briefs (1)
Unlocking Livestock Sector Potential Through Master Plans
Making foresight material interoperable
What do we know about the future of agri-food systems in Eastern and Southern Africa?
What do we know about the future of land in relation to food system transformation?
