Agricultural investments and hunger in Africa modeling potential contributions to SDG2 – Zero Hunger
We use IFPRI’s IMPACT framework of linked biophysical and structural economic models to examine developments in global agricultural production systems, climate change, and food security. Building on related work on how increased investment in agricultural research, resource management, and infrastructure can address the challenges of meeting future food demand, we…
Gaps between fruit and vegetable production, demand, and recommended consumption at global and national levels: an integrated modelling study
Summary Background Current diets are detrimental to both human and planetary health and shifting towards more balanced, predominantly plant-based diets is seen as crucial to improving both. Low fruit and vegetable consumption is itself a major nutritional problem. We aim to better quantify the gap between future fruit and vegetable…
Health and nutritional aspects of sustainable diet strategies and their association with environmental impacts: a global modelling analysis with country-level detail
Summary Background Sustainable diets are intended to address the increasing health and environmental concerns related to food production and consumption. Although many candidates for sustainable diets have emerged, a consistent and joint environmental and health analysis of these diets has not been done at a regional level. Using an integrated…
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Comparing modeling approaches for assessing priorities in international agricultural research
This article examines how the estimated impacts of crop technologies vary with alternate methods and assumptions, and also discusses the implications of these differences for the design of studies to inform research prioritization. Drawing on international potato research, we show how foresight scenarios, realized by a multi-period global multi-commodity equilibrium…
Food Security, Farming, and Climate Change to 2050: Scenarios, Results, Policy Options
Climate change impacts and adaptation options for water and food in Pakistan: scenario analysis using an integrated global water and food projections model
Climate change is expected to considerably affect the water resources in the Indus River basin in Pakistan and thus agricultural production in the country. This article reports an analysis of the impacts of various climate scenarios on both water resources and food production out to 2050. While changes in water…
Green and blue water accounting in the Ganges and Nile basins: Implications for food and agricultural policy
Most food globally is produced from soil moisture that comes exclusively from precipitation, or “green” water. Moreover, most of the water reaching plants in irrigated systems also stems from precipitation. Despite this, irrigation or “blue” water has typically been the focus for policy analysis in the past, given the possibility…
The future role of agriculture in the Arab region’s food security
The 2007–2008 food crisis and subsequent economic recession have severely undermined food security and agricultural sustainability worldwide. Failures in market functioning and trade openness have posed particularly high risks to the import-dependent countries in the Arab region. Many of the global causes of the price spikes are still in place,…
The impact of organic farming on food security in a regional and global perspective.
Abstract Following an overview of existing global food supply and security projections, this chapter examines under what circumstances and to what extent organic farming is a beneficial solution to food insecurity and low agricultural productivity. It also explores the possible consequences of a high percentage of organic farming in…
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Foresight Synthesis Briefs (1)
